Fuel Shipments Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

U
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$160k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

99%

Yes

U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

18%

Yes

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$31k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

41%

0-10

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$30k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

36%

Yes

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$2.2m Vol.
$174k Liq.
🔥$182k today
Ends in 27 days

14%

Yes

W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$777k Vol.
$183k Liq.
25
Ends in 27 days

12%

United States

Q
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

$16k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

9%

Yes

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 6?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 6?

$0 Vol.
$19 Liq.
Ends in 4 days

50%

Up

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

$44k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 2 days

26%

30-34

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$381k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

98%

0-10

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$23k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

52%

20+

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 2?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 2?

$0 Vol.
$6 Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

53%

Up

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

24%

Yes

J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

$48k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 1?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 1?

$437 Vol.
$158 Liq.
Ended

1%

Up

I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$10k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

99%

April 1

 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$74k Vol.
$85k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

30%

December 31

I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$119k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended

1%

Yes

U
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.6m Vol.
$142k Liq.
🔥$94k today
131
Ended

23%

April 30

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire