Internet Security Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
1%
Yes
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
$50k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$50k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 9 months
65%
Yes
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.1m Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
45%
Yes
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$101k Vol.
$14k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$101k Vol.$14k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 30
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$93k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$93k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
99%
Gold
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$351k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 4 days
87%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
<5
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$26k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 1 day
94%
<20
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
$345k Vol.
$25k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$345k Vol.$25k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
75%
May 31
Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?
$34k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in about 9 hours
$34k Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
What price will Ethena hit in March?
$96k Vol.
$176k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$96k Vol.$176k Liq.Ends in 1 day
13%
↓ 0.08
8%
Yes