Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 125 markets
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$56.1m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.4m today
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$56.1m Vol.🔥$2.4m today$1.6m Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.0m Vol.
$376k Liq.
🔥$552k today
202
Ends in 1 day
$9.0m Vol.🔥$552k today$376k Liq.202Ends in 1 day
43%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$12.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$412k today
Ends in about 1 month
$12.8m Vol.🔥$412k today$1.1m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.4m Vol.
$970k Liq.
🔥$375k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.4m Vol.🔥$375k today$970k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.1m Vol.
$497k Liq.
🔥$195k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.1m Vol.🔥$195k today$497k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$42k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$42k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$210k Liq.
🔥$126k today
884
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$126k today$210k Liq.884Ends in 9 months
54%
December 31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.2m Vol.
$609k Liq.
🔥$324k today
291
Ends in 3 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$324k today$609k Liq.291Ends in 3 months
27%
December 31
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.0m Liq.70Ends in 9 months
45%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$731k Vol.
$105k Liq.
62
Ends in about 1 month
$731k Vol.$105k Liq.62Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$100k Vol.
$15k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$100k Vol.$15k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$97k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$97k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
3%
March 30
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$19k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$19k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
21%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$38k Liq.
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$64k Vol.$38k Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
98%
<5
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$232k Vol.
$18k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$18k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$119k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$119k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$186k Vol.
$25k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$186k Vol.$25k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$29k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$29k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$11k Liq.
39
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$11k Liq.39Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30