Kurdistan Regional Government Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$25k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$25k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$361k Vol.
$202k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$361k Vol.$202k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
57%
Pakistan
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$299k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$299k Vol.$38k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$354k Vol.
$174k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$354k Vol.$174k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
5%
June 30
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.1m Liq.70Ends in 9 months
45%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.1m Vol.
$378k Liq.
🔥$120k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.1m Vol.🔥$120k today$378k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.4m Vol.
$901k Liq.
🔥$220k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.4m Vol.🔥$220k today$901k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
$155k Vol.
$35k Liq.
49
Ends in 9 months
$155k Vol.$35k Liq.49Ends in 9 months
28%
December 31
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$25k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$25k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
97%
<20
Politics · World
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
$81k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
39%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
<20
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
$119k Vol.
$49k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$119k Vol.$49k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$52k Vol.
$99k Liq.
19
Ends in 10 days
$52k Vol.$99k Liq.19Ends in 10 days
68%
INC