Labor Department Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

$834k Vol.
$82k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days

50%

≥3.4%

M
March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

$2.9m Vol.
$144k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days

99%

≥2.8%

M
March Inflation US - Monthly

March Inflation US - Monthly

$515k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

89%

≥0.8%

H
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

$344k Vol.
$139k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months

98%

Above 3%

M
March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

$40k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

29%

4.4%

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$10k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

86%

Up

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$336k Vol.
$23k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months

64%

5.0%

W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months

12%

Yes

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

5%

Up

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$129 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

39%

April 30

F
February Unemployment Rate - Japan

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

$42k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended

100%

2.6%

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$380k Vol.
$15k Liq.
70

9%

Isfahan nuclear facility

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$926k Vol.
$79k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months

36%

Yes

H
How many jobs added in March?

How many jobs added in March?

$15k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

31%

100k+

W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

W
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

1%

Yes

W
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours

40%

↓ 39000

H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

0%

Yes

W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$773 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

45%

160-179