Law Predictions & Odds· 231 markets
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$449k Vol.
$15k Liq.
35
Ends in 9 months
$449k Vol.$15k Liq.35Ends in 9 months
53%
Yes
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$234k Vol.
$38k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$234k Vol.$38k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
26%
December 31
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$25k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
54%
4
Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$679 Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$3k Vol.$679 Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Which bills will become law in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
67%
Housing for the 21st Century Act
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
$133k Vol.
$40k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$133k Vol.$40k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?
$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
59%
0
H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?
$26k Vol.
$82k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$26k Vol.$82k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
8%
June 30
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$193 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$193 Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$4.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$132k today
Ends in 9 months
$4.9m Vol.🔥$132k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$109k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$415k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in about 5 hours
$415k Vol.$10k Liq.25Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 5 days
$8k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 5 days
40%
Yes
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$137k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 5 hours
$137k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
US military draft authorized in 2026?
$80k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$80k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$56k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$81k Vol.$56k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
8%
Jacky Rosen
Nothing Ever Happens: March
$292k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$292k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
71%
Nothing
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
$162k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$162k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes