Nobel Peace Prize Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
$12.2m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$81k today
146
Ends in 6 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$81k today$1.8m Liq.146Ends in 6 months
11%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$120k today
173
$539k Vol.🔥$120k today$18k Liq.173
17%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$189 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$189 Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$445 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$445 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
38%
60-79
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$19k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$19k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 2 days
100%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 1 day
70%
80-99
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$57k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$57k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$911 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$911 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
37%
140-159
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$27k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$27k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 2 days
47%
Delcy / Rodriguez
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$599k Vol.
$38k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$599k Vol.$38k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $3
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
53%
Yes
G
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$44k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$44k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$369k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$369k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Hong Wang
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes