Nobel Peace Prize Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
$12.2m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$84k today
147
Ends in 6 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$84k today$1.9m Liq.147Ends in 6 months
11%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$537k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$126k today
172
$537k Vol.🔥$126k today$18k Liq.172
14%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$114 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$114 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
23%
Yes
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$18k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$18k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 days
97%
Terrorist
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 1 day
74%
80-99
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$44k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$911 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$911 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
37%
140-159
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$27k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$27k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 days
40%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$599k Vol.
$38k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$599k Vol.$38k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $3
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$21k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$21k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
G
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$44k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$44k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$369k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$369k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 months
67%
Hong Wang
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$419k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$419k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$386k Liq.
🔥$476k today
Ends in 28 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$476k today$386k Liq.Ends in 28 days
2%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes