Policies Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

$55k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

$212k Vol.
$14k Liq.
62
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

$240k Vol.
$18k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months

41%

Yes

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

$73k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ended

0%

Yes

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

$104k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ended

100%

Gold

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

$10k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

57%

NVIDIA (NVDA)

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k Vol.
$14k Liq.
68

24%

Isfahan nuclear facility

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

46%

Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

41%

160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$172k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

81%

160-179

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

$291k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

51%

↑ 0.50

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$12k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

36%

160-179

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ended

98%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

7%

Yes

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

$7k Vol.
$879 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

71%

December 31, 2026

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$116k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ended

2%

Yes