Public Policy Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

$415k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in about 6 hours

1%

Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

$212k Vol.
$14k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months

7%

Yes

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$1.6m Vol.
$27k Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months

24%

June 30, 2026

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours

29%

December 31

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

$483k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month

17%

April 30

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$233k Vol.
$13k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month

8%

April 30

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$375k Vol.
$16k Liq.
62

16%

Isfahan nuclear facility

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

$98k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours

99%

Gold

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

UK election called by...?

Starmer · uk

UK election called by...?

$739k Vol.
$2k Liq.
14
Ended

4%

Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

42%

160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$154k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours

69%

160-179

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$6k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

39%

160-179

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$707k Vol.
$19k Liq.
94
Ends in about 6 hours

93%

April 30

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k Vol.
$4k Liq.
28

38%

Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

41%

60-79

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours

83%

60-79

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

49%

60-79

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m Vol.
$437k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months

44%

>$600M

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

$291k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

51%

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