Repo Rate Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

S
South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

66%

No Change

P
People's Bank of China rate change in April?

People's Bank of China rate change in April?

$8k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

94%

No Change

R
Reserve Bank of India decision in April

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 6 days

98%

No Change

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k Vol.
$103k Liq.
35
Ends in 27 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

53%

↓3.66%

R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

$22k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

60%

Increase

F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$3.2m Vol.
$291k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

80%

No change

R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

73%

Increase

P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$88k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

76%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$45.5m Vol.
$4.5m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
39
Ends in 27 days

98%

No change

F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$5.2m Vol.
$941k Liq.
🔥$111k today
22
Ends in 3 months

90%

No change

B
Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

$0 Vol.
$276 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

51%

No Change

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$184k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months

64%

December Meeting

M
March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

$157k Vol.
$23k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in about 13 hours

34%

4.4%

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$15.4m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$166k today
61
Ends in 9 months

31%

0 (0 bps)

B
Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

$286k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

89%

No change

I
India Annual Inflation 2026

India Annual Inflation 2026

$57k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

32%

4.50%+