Robotaxi Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

15%

Yes

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in almost 2 years

78%

SpaceX

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

$68k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

24%

December 31

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$707k Vol.
$19k Liq.
94
Ends in about 8 hours

93%

April 30

Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs

Esports · Rocket League

Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Gentle Mates Alpine

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years

96%

SpaceX

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

8%

Yes

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.4m Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in almost 2 years

66%

$800B

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

2%

Yes

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

$55 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours

85%

3DMAX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

$1.4m Vol.
$22k Liq.
34
Ended

59%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

$14k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years

38%

750B–1T

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

$92k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

50%

12+

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

$247 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

73%

3DMAX

Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs

$10 Vol.
$462 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

56%

Rare Atom

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

17%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended

21%

Yes

LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Games · Sports

LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

$0 Vol.
$186 Liq.
Ends in 4 days

73%

Eintracht Spandau

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$13k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Anthropic