Robotaxi Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in almost 2 years
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in almost 2 years
78%
SpaceX

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31

93%
April 30

Esports · Rocket League
Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs
$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$7k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Gentle Mates Alpine

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX

8%
Yes

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1.4m Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.4m Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in almost 2 years
66%
$800B

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
2%
Yes

Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$55 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
$55 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 24 hours
85%
3DMAX

59%
Super Heavy booster explodes?

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
$14k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$14k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
38%
750B–1T

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
$92k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$92k Vol.$22k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
50%
12+

Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$247 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$247 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 1 day
73%
3DMAX

Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs
$10 Vol.
$462 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$10 Vol.$462 Liq.Ends in 1 day
56%
Rare Atom

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes

Games · Sports
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
$0 Vol.
$186 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$186 Liq.Ends in 4 days
73%
Eintracht Spandau

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$13k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic