Russia US Relations Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$488k Vol.
$188k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$488k Vol.$188k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
42%
No Meeting by June 30
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
US x Russia military clash by...?
$584k Vol.
$29k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$584k Vol.$29k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$11k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$11k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$4.6m Vol.
$203k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.$203k Liq.20Ends in 3 months
88%
No meeting by June 30
T
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$102k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$102k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
T
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
U
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$535k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$131k today
160
$535k Vol.🔥$131k today$15k Liq.160
12%
Yes
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
160-179
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$32k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$32k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 5 days
48%
200+
U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$117k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$117k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 1 day
78%
200+
W
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$765k Vol.
$36k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$765k Vol.$36k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$38k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$38k Liq.122Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026
P
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
$1.0m Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.0m Vol.$75k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$40k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$40k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$44k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$44k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes