Secretary Predictions & Odds· 145 markets
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$73k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$73k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 28 days
3%
Yes
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$405k Vol.
$17k Liq.
17
Ended
$405k Vol.$17k Liq.17Ended
22%
June 30, 2026
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$933 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$933 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
W
49%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$624 Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$624 Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
N
Next President of Vietnam
$28.7m Vol.
$493k Liq.
🔥$676k today
243
Ended
$28.7m Vol.🔥$676k today$493k Liq.243Ended
95%
Tô Lâm
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.7m Vol.
$298k Liq.
🔥$67k today
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$67k today$298k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
$960k Vol.
$38k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
$960k Vol.$38k Liq.47Ends in 3 months
56%
December 31
U
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
$51k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$51k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes
X
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$74k Liq.Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
C
33%
Yes
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$43k Vol.
$98k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$43k Vol.$98k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
29%
Paxton 9%+
W
24%
Yes
W
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$422k Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$422k Vol.$1.1m Liq.1Ends in 2 months
64%
Eric Swalwell
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$4k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
P
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$46k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$46k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
72%
Dem-Rep
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$241 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$241 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 28 days
75%
President 50+ times