Secretary Predictions & Odds· 147 markets
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$73k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$73k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 28 days
3%
Yes
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$405k Vol.
$17k Liq.
17
Ended
$405k Vol.$17k Liq.17Ended
24%
June 30, 2026
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$933 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$933 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
W
56%
Rafael Grossi
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$628 Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$628 Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
N
Next President of Vietnam
$29.1m Vol.
$483k Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
244
Ended
$29.1m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$483k Liq.244Ended
95%
Tô Lâm
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.7m Vol.
$295k Liq.
🔥$57k today
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$57k today$295k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
$960k Vol.
$46k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
$960k Vol.$46k Liq.47Ends in 3 months
56%
December 31
X
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$72k Liq.Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
C
33%
Yes
U
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
$51k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$51k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$43k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$43k Vol.$106k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
30%
Paxton 9%+
W
24%
Yes
W
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$422k Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$422k Vol.$1.1m Liq.1Ends in 2 months
64%
Eric Swalwell
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
P
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$46k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$46k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
72%
Dem-Rep
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$241 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$241 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 28 days
75%
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