Startups Predictions & Odds· 166 markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ended

0%

Yes

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$78.7m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$257k today
206
Ends in 9 months

65%

Delcy Rodríguez

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$3.9m Vol.
$457k Liq.
🔥$242k today
1
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$31.0m Vol.
$292k Liq.
🔥$84k today
1
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,427
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.1m Vol.
$229k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days

3%

Yes

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.6m Vol.
$865k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months

51%

Mojtaba Khamenei

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

$149k Vol.
$20k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

$124k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

35%

Yes

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$845k Vol.
$88k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months

15%

Yes

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

$126k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

31%

0

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

3%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

2%

Yes

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

$126k Vol.
$8k Liq.
26
Ends in 3 months

51%

April 30

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

$10k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

36%

9-11

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

$232k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

13%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 17 days

60%

April 17

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

4%

Yes