Startups Predictions & Odds· 166 markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ended
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ended
0%
Yes

Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.7m Vol.
$1000k Liq.
🔥$271k today
206
Ends in 9 months
$78.7m Vol.🔥$271k today$1000k Liq.206Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy Rodríguez

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.9m Vol.
$458k Liq.
🔥$242k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.🔥$242k today$458k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$291k Liq.
🔥$84k today
1
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.🔥$84k today$291k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,427
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,427Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes

Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$798k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$798k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
55%
Mojtaba Khamenei

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$228k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$1.1m Vol.$228k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
$149k Vol.
$20k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$149k Vol.$20k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes

34%
Yes

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$845k Vol.
$87k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$845k Vol.$87k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
$126k Vol.
$123k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$126k Vol.$123k Liq.Ends in 9 months
31%
0

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$11k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 months
3%
Yes

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
$151k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended
$151k Vol.$7k Liq.Ended
2%
Yes

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$126k Vol.
$8k Liq.
26
Ends in 3 months
$126k Vol.$8k Liq.26Ends in 3 months
51%
April 30

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$10k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 30 days
36%
9-11

63%
April 17


