Toll Predictions & Odds· 406 markets

W
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

43%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$602k Vol.
$114k Liq.
🔥$142k today
18
Ends in 15 days
M
MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

rookie · baseball

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

44%

Dylan Beavers

$466 Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

77%

20+

$369k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

25%

Yes

$8.9m Vol.
$682k Liq.
🔥$559k today
Ends in 15 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

73%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

56%

Yes

$804k Vol.
$92k Liq.
🔥$105k today
Ends in about 2 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (April 13 - April 19)

79%

China / Xi

$46k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)

24%

40-49

$12k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

28%

0-10

$101k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 19?

32%

4-7

$6k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (April 13 - 18)

93%

April 15

$1k Vol.
$488 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
M
Most popular boy name 2025

86%

Liam

$832k Vol.
$58k Liq.
32
Ended
M
Most popular girl name 2025

87%

Olivia

$326k Vol.
$51k Liq.
21
Ended
T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

35%

Up

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
T
Trump approval rating on April 17?

49%

39.5–39.9

$10k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

70%

39.0%

$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Tech · Culture

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

42%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$1k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

13%

↑ 45%

$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

42%

35%

$62k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
NYC congestion pricing repealed before July?

No

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended