Toll Predictions & Odds· 414 markets
W
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?
$372k Vol.🔥$121k today$88k Liq.14Ends in 16 days
24%
Oil Sanction Relief
$372k Vol.
$88k Liq.
🔥$121k today
14
Ends in 16 days
M
42%
Dylan Beavers
$426 Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$323k Vol.$74k Liq.Ends in 16 days
66%
20+
$323k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?
$160k Vol.$85k Liq.39Ended
77%
10
$160k Vol.
$85k Liq.
39
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$7.9m Vol.🔥$574k today$268k Liq.Ends in 16 days
19%
Yes
$7.9m Vol.
$268k Liq.
🔥$574k today
Ends in 16 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
$652k Vol.$77k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
47%
Yes
$652k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
88%
China / Xi
$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)
$0 Vol.$918 Liq.Ends in 5 days
45%
<10
$0 Vol.
$918 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 6-12)
$209k Vol.$25k Liq.Ended
59%
60+
$209k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ended
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$98k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in 16 days
39%
0-10
$98k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 19?
$0 Vol.$87 Liq.Ends in 5 days
43%
8-11
$0 Vol.
$87 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
A
66%
8-11
$96k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ended
W
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (April 13 - 18)
$140 Vol.$645 Liq.Ends in 4 days
52%
April 17
$140 Vol.
$645 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
M
86%
Liam
$829k Vol.
$55k Liq.
32
Ended
M
88%
Olivia
$326k Vol.
$48k Liq.
21
Ended
T
41%
Up
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
T
44%
39.5–39.9
$5k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
H
68%
39.0%
$3k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
Tech · Culture
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
$7k Vol.$981 Liq.8Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
$7k Vol.
$981 Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
↑ 44%
$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months