Uptspt Government Predictions & Odds· 1716 markets

W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

78%

Social Democrats (SD)

W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

97%

Moderates

N
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

U
UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

$9 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

39%

Up

2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$53k Vol.
$35k Liq.
19
Ends in 8 months

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

$35k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

2%

Yes

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

$78k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

51%

Palantir

M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

$97k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

35%

December 31, 2026

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$80.9m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$8.3m today
1,404

73%

December 31

N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$112.3m Vol.
$20.0m Liq.
🔥$5.5m today
36
Ends in 9 months

40%

December 31

H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

$55.5m Vol.
$887k Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
127
Ends in 10 days

69%

TISZA

N
Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

$43.8m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$2.2m today
111
Ends in 10 days

65%

Péter Magyar

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$18.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
1
Ends in 28 days

3%

Yes

T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

$10.9m Vol.
$479k Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
212
Ends in 3 months

77%

June 30

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$11.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
371
Ended

88%

December 31

B
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

$36.8m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
3,808
Ends in 6 months

44%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

N
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

$27.0m Vol.
$2.8m Liq.
🔥$908k today
370
Ends in about 1 year

30%

Édouard Philippe

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$25.0m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$827k today
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

2
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

$11.0m Vol.
$830k Liq.
🔥$810k today
17
Ends in 2 months

82%

Chong Won-oh