US Employment Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
17%
Yes
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$20k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$20k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%
34%
100k+
32%
4.4%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$129 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$129 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$314k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 5 hours
$314k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
13%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
7%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
83%
Up
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 5 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
34%
800–900B
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
$35k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 5 hours
$35k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
45%
Yes
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
94%
April 30
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
$733k Vol.
$8k Liq.
147
Ends in about 5 hours
$733k Vol.$8k Liq.147Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
US recession by end of 2026?
$920k Vol.
$69k Liq.
51
Ends in 10 months
$920k Vol.$69k Liq.51Ends in 10 months
36%
Yes