Acting Predictions & Odds· 136 markets
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$11.9m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
371
Ended
$11.9m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.0m Liq.371Ended
88%
December 31
N
Next President of Vietnam
$29.1m Vol.
$485k Liq.
🔥$1.0m today
244
Ended
$29.1m Vol.🔥$1.0m today$485k Liq.244Ended
95%
Tô Lâm
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.0m Vol.
$285k Liq.
🔥$221k today
892
Ends in 9 months
$6.0m Vol.🔥$221k today$285k Liq.892Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
U
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$74k Liq.
🔥$73k today
Ended
$1.3m Vol.🔥$73k today$74k Liq.Ended
58%
June 30
N
Next Prime Minister of Vietnam
$16.1m Vol.
$294k Liq.
🔥$52k today
207
Ended
$16.1m Vol.🔥$52k today$294k Liq.207Ended
95%
Lê Minh Hưng
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$490k Vol.
$201k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$490k Vol.$201k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
42%
No Meeting by June 30
J
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$270k Vol.
$40k Liq.
6
Ends in 28 days
$270k Vol.$40k Liq.6Ends in 28 days
14%
April 30
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$154k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$154k Liq.Ends in 9 months
43%
Pam Bondi
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$120k Vol.
$18k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$120k Vol.$18k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
D
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
$590k Vol.
$16k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$590k Vol.$16k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$156k Vol.
$14k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
$156k Vol.$14k Liq.20Ends in 3 months
49%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
P
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$88k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$88k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in 9 months
74%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
N
99%
Romuald Wadagni
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$241 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$241 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 28 days
75%
President 50+ times
W
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in 28 days
11%
Yes
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$21k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
H
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$4 Vol.
$646 Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$4 Vol.$646 Liq.Ends in 28 days
43%
30 - 35 minutes
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
T
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
$6k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes