Aid Package Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$2.7m Vol.
$18k Liq.
393
Ended

20%

June 30

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k Vol.
$4k Liq.
28

37%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$26k Liq.
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$707k Vol.
$19k Liq.
94
Ends in about 7 hours

93%

April 30

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$233k Vol.
$18k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month

8%

April 30

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$100k Vol.
$15k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month

17%

April 30

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

90%

Strait of Hormuz

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m Vol.
$439k Liq.
256
Ends in 3 months

44%

>$600M

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$20k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

50%

Yes

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

$3k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

69%

Not revealed in 2026

Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?

Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?

$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

49%

April 15

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

$2.7m Vol.
$7k Liq.
263
Ended

11%

December 31, 2026

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

$1.4m Vol.
$22k Liq.
35
Ended

60%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours

44%

<15 minutes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

28%

Yes