Alon Predictions & Odds· 488 markets
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$17.8m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
74
Ends in 7 months
$17.8m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$1.8m Liq.74Ends in 7 months
96%
Kevin Warsh
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$11.2m Vol.
$439k Liq.
🔥$580k today
233
Ended
$11.2m Vol.🔥$580k today$439k Liq.233Ended
28%
June 30
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$775k Vol.
$183k Liq.
🔥$54k today
25
Ends in 28 days
$775k Vol.🔥$54k today$183k Liq.25Ends in 28 days
12%
United States
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$416k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$416k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$289k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$289k Vol.$48k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
18%
May 31
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.2m Vol.
$158k Liq.
264
Ends in 9 months
$9.2m Vol.$158k Liq.264Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Q
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$15k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 28 days
10%
Yes
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$103k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$103k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will MegaETH launch a token by ___?
$254k Vol.
$43k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$43k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
83%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$893k Vol.
$117k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$893k Vol.$117k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
W
93%
December 31, 2026
W
78%
Yes
W
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$375k Vol.
$57k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$375k Vol.$57k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
W
Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
$203k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$203k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
87%
December 31, 2026
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$44k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$35k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$35k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 28 days
2%
Yes
W
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
$156k Vol.
$3k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$156k Vol.$3k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
44%
December 31 2026
W
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
$744k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$744k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
39%
December 31, 2026