Board Appointments Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$17.8m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
74
Ends in 7 months

96%

Kevin Warsh

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$438k Vol.
$34k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month

51%

May 15

W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

$114 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

23%

Yes

W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

W
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?

Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?

$2k Vol.
$324 Liq.
Ends in 28 days

4%

Yes

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m Vol.
$421k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

64%

Orbán - Hungary PM

W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

95%

Kevin Cramer

H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

35%

60+

S
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

sam altman · OpenAI

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

K
Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended

March 31

O
OpenAI board out by end of week?

OpenAI · AI

OpenAI board out by end of week?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

T
Trump uses a recess appointment before July?

Trump uses a recess appointment before July?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

W
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

$662k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No announcement by December 31

W
Who will replace Larry Fink as BlackRock CEO?

Business

Who will replace Larry Fink as BlackRock CEO?

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No announcement in 2024