Borders Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
39%
December 31, 2026
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$31k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$33k Liq.
123
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$33k Liq.123Ends in 9 months
15%
December 31, 2026
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
$83k Vol.
$12k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$83k Vol.$12k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$16k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ended
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ended
2%
Yes
46%
Yes
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
87%
50
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$879 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$879 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$445k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$445k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
1%
↓ 500
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$101k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$101k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 30 days
15%
April 10
41%
↓ 39000