Country Policies Predictions & Odds· 151 markets
W
Will any country leave NATO by...?
$439k Vol.
$60k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months
$439k Vol.$60k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
$208k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ended
$208k Vol.$20k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$17k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$17k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$85k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$85k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$195k Vol.
$46k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$46k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ended
$48k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ended
0%
Yes
W
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
$52k Vol.
$37k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$37k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
W
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
$29k Vol.
$5k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$5k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
W
0%
Yes
W
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
$3 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
X
X banned in any European country by December 31?
$0 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$355k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$355k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Somaliland
A
Politics · Geopolitics
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
$109k Vol.
$39k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$109k Vol.$39k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
W
Politics · Geopolitics
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$6.3m Vol.
$154k Liq.
🔥$493k today
6
Ends in 9 months
$6.3m Vol.🔥$493k today$154k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
36%
4
W
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$588k Vol.
$290k Liq.
🔥$93k today
Ends in 29 days
$588k Vol.🔥$93k today$290k Liq.Ends in 29 days
14%
UAE
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$456k Vol.
$187k Liq.
🔥$69k today
9
Ends in 3 months
$456k Vol.🔥$69k today$187k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
37%
Pakistan
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$719k Vol.
$99k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months
$719k Vol.$99k Liq.38Ends in 9 months
33%
7
W
Will Trump visit China by...?
$19.1m Vol.
$298k Liq.
🔥$393k today
433
Ends in 29 days
$19.1m Vol.🔥$393k today$298k Liq.433Ends in 29 days
86%
June 30