Diplomacy Predictions & Odds· 121 markets
U
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$67k Liq.
🔥$74k today
Ended
$1.3m Vol.🔥$74k today$67k Liq.Ended
60%
June 30
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$487k Vol.
$204k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$487k Vol.$204k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
43%
No Meeting by June 30
J
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$270k Vol.
$41k Liq.
6
Ends in 28 days
$270k Vol.$41k Liq.6Ends in 28 days
14%
April 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$80.8m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$8.7m today
1,403
$80.8m Vol.🔥$8.7m today$2.4m Liq.1,403
73%
December 31
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$11.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
370
Ended
$11.8m Vol.🔥$1.6m today$1.1m Liq.370Ended
88%
December 31
T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$10.9m Vol.
$452k Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
210
Ends in 3 months
$10.9m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$452k Liq.210Ends in 3 months
76%
June 30
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
$117k Vol.
$42k Liq.
🔥$105k today
1
Ends in about 2 months
$117k Vol.🔥$105k today$42k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
14%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$233k Vol.
$130k Liq.
🔥$67k today
Ends in 28 days
$233k Vol.🔥$67k today$130k Liq.Ends in 28 days
5%
Yes
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$430k Vol.
$37k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$430k Vol.$37k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$199k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$199k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in 28 days
6%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$96k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$96k Vol.$12k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
33%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$949k Vol.
$40k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$949k Vol.$40k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
24%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$65k Vol.
$85k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$65k Vol.$85k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
W
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$132k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$132k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 28 days
6%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$164k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$164k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$21k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$21k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change