Federal Government Predictions & Odds· 1144 markets
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$21k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$77k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$77k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
51%
Palantir
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$338k Liq.
🔥$135k today
123
Ended
$2.3m Vol.🔥$135k today$338k Liq.123Ended
31%
April 30
Who visited Epstein's Island?
$1.5m Vol.
$318k Liq.
🔥$103k today
121
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.🔥$103k today$318k Liq.121Ends in 3 months
33%
Richard Branson
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$243k Vol.
$23k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
$243k Vol.$23k Liq.33Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
US military draft authorized in 2026?
$80k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$80k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
$647k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$647k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
$222k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$222k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$45k Vol.$17k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
17%
Yes
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in almost 3 years
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in almost 3 years
68%
Yes
0%
Yes
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$110k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$110k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
62%
Kristi Noem
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$404k Vol.
$128k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$404k Vol.$128k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
