Federal Government Predictions & Odds· 1098 markets
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$35k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$35k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$25k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$78k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$78k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
51%
Palantir
U
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.6m Vol.
$104k Liq.
🔥$108k today
131
Ended
$2.6m Vol.🔥$108k today$104k Liq.131Ended
23%
April 30
W
Who visited Epstein's Island?
$1.6m Vol.
$285k Liq.
120
Ends in 3 months
$1.6m Vol.$285k Liq.120Ends in 3 months
23%
Richard Branson
U
US military draft authorized in 2026?
$86k Vol.
$22k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$86k Vol.$22k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
69%
Yes
W
1%
Yes
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$409k Vol.
$111k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$409k Vol.$111k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
63%
Kristi Noem
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
$115k Vol.
$15k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$115k Vol.$15k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
U
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
$51k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$51k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes
W
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
$226k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$226k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
W
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
$2.5m Vol.
$35k Liq.
43
Ends in 3 months
$2.5m Vol.$35k Liq.43Ends in 3 months
8%
Before 2027
T
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
$23k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$966 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$966 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Yes
W
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
$650k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$650k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
A
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$28k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$46k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days
$46k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 28 days
16%
Yes
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$409k Vol.
$131k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$409k Vol.$131k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes