Fired Predictions & Odds· 107 markets
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$314k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in about 4 hours
$314k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
$733k Vol.
$9k Liq.
147
Ends in about 4 hours
$733k Vol.$9k Liq.147Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 4 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
$462k Vol.
$13k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$462k Vol.$13k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$199k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ends in about 4 hours
$199k Vol.$13k Liq.6Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Becca Good charged by March 31?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 4 hours
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$75k Vol.
$94k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$94k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
$35k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 4 hours
$35k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$48k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$370k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$370k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$126 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$126 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026
30%
4.4%
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.2Ends in about 4 hours
2%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
31%
April 30
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$536k Vol.
$40k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$536k Vol.$40k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
38%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$485 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$485 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes