Geopolitcs Predictions & Odds· 552 markets

U
US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

$60.3m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$6.4m today
5,596

71%

December 31

W
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

$81.1m Vol.
$5.3m Liq.
🔥$6.0m today
4
Ended

14%

↑ $105

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$62.0m Vol.
$3.8m Liq.
🔥$4.2m today
3
Ended

0%

Yes

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$67.2m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
1,289

74%

December 31

N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$91.4m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$2.3m today
35
Ends in 9 months

42%

December 31

W
Who will Trump talk to in March?

Who will Trump talk to in March?

$1.5m Vol.
$76k Liq.
🔥$616k today
1
Ended

56%

Mark Rutte

K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$9.8m Vol.
$438k Liq.
🔥$590k today
222
Ends in about 9 hours

37%

June 30

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$9.2m Vol.
$542k Liq.
🔥$576k today
332
Ended

80%

December 31

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$23.3m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$566k today
5
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

$8.4m Vol.
$309k Liq.
🔥$530k today
168
Ends in 3 months

73%

June 30

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$13.4m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$451k today
1
Ends in 29 days

7%

Yes

H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

$5.9m Vol.
$134k Liq.
🔥$426k today
4
Ends in 9 months

33%

4

W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$12.7m Vol.
$548k Liq.
🔥$382k today
294
Ends in 3 months

25%

December 31

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
72
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$4.0m Vol.
$518k Liq.
🔥$336k today
1
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$78.9m Vol.
$996k Liq.
🔥$311k today
207
Ends in 9 months

64%

Delcy Rodríguez

W
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

$5.4m Vol.
$221k Liq.
🔥$242k today
1
Ended

1%

Yes

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$5.5m Vol.
$246k Liq.
🔥$219k today
887
Ends in 9 months

39%

December 31

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.7m Vol.
$630k Liq.
🔥$194k today
20,364
Ended

0%

Yes

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$2.1m Vol.
$7k Liq.
🔥$168k today
2
Ended

98%

Yes