Geopolitcs Predictions & Odds· 552 markets
W
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$80.4m Vol.
$5.1m Liq.
🔥$6.1m today
4
Ended
$80.4m Vol.🔥$6.1m today$5.1m Liq.4Ended
46%
↑ $105
U
US forces enter Iran by..?
$59.0m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$5.9m today
5,538
$59.0m Vol.🔥$5.9m today$1.6m Liq.5,538
75%
December 31
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$61.3m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.9m today
3
Ended
$61.3m Vol.🔥$4.9m today$2.5m Liq.3Ended
0%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$66.2m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$3.7m today
1,284
$66.2m Vol.🔥$3.7m today$1.9m Liq.1,284
74%
December 31
N
Netanyahu out by...?
$91.2m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
34
Ends in 9 months
$91.2m Vol.🔥$2.8m today$4.0m Liq.34Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$23.3m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$832k today
5
Ends in 3 months
$23.3m Vol.🔥$832k today$1.4m Liq.5Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
W
Who will Trump talk to in March?
$1.5m Vol.
$77k Liq.
🔥$739k today
1
Ended
$1.5m Vol.🔥$739k today$77k Liq.1Ended
60%
Mark Rutte
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.7m Vol.
$505k Liq.
🔥$601k today
222
Ends in about 13 hours
$9.7m Vol.🔥$601k today$505k Liq.222Ends in about 13 hours
37%
June 30
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.4m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$558k today
1
Ends in 30 days
$13.4m Vol.🔥$558k today$1.7m Liq.1Ends in 30 days
7%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ended
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ended
0%
Yes
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$160k Liq.
🔥$518k today
4
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$518k today$160k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
38%
4
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$9.0m Vol.
$599k Liq.
🔥$461k today
332
Ended
$9.0m Vol.🔥$461k today$599k Liq.332Ended
80%
December 31
T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$8.2m Vol.
$362k Liq.
🔥$443k today
166
Ends in 3 months
$8.2m Vol.🔥$443k today$362k Liq.166Ends in 3 months
73%
June 30
W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.6m Vol.
$691k Liq.
🔥$294k today
294
Ends in 3 months
$12.6m Vol.🔥$294k today$691k Liq.294Ends in 3 months
26%
December 31
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.0m Vol.
$545k Liq.
🔥$292k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$4.0m Vol.🔥$292k today$545k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.8m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$290k today
207
Ends in 9 months
$78.8m Vol.🔥$290k today$1.0m Liq.207Ends in 9 months
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
$5.4m Vol.
$154k Liq.
🔥$291k today
1
Ended
$5.4m Vol.🔥$291k today$154k Liq.1Ended
1%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.4m Vol.
$310k Liq.
🔥$190k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.4m Vol.🔥$190k today$310k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.3m Vol.
$516k Liq.
🔥$184k today
13
Ends in 9 months
$12.3m Vol.🔥$184k today$516k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes