Geopolitcs Predictions & Odds· 552 markets

U
US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

$59.6m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$6.1m today
5,563

73%

December 31

W
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

$80.6m Vol.
$5.1m Liq.
🔥$6.0m today
4
Ended

25%

↑ $105

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$61.9m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
🔥$4.5m today
3
Ended

0%

Yes

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$66.7m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$3.9m today
1,284

74%

December 31

N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$91.3m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$2.4m today
34
Ends in 9 months

42%

December 31

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$23.3m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$831k today
5
Ends in 3 months

17%

Yes

W
Who will Trump talk to in March?

Who will Trump talk to in March?

$1.5m Vol.
$74k Liq.
🔥$662k today
1
Ended

53%

Mark Rutte

K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$9.7m Vol.
$430k Liq.
🔥$586k today
222
Ends in about 11 hours

37%

June 30

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$13.4m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$559k today
1
Ends in 29 days

7%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ended

0%

Yes

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$9.1m Vol.
$564k Liq.
🔥$477k today
332
Ended

80%

December 31

T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

$8.3m Vol.
$299k Liq.
🔥$476k today
167
Ends in 3 months

73%

June 30

H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

$5.8m Vol.
$154k Liq.
🔥$457k today
4
Ends in 9 months

34%

4

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
72
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$4.0m Vol.
$511k Liq.
🔥$334k today
1
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$12.6m Vol.
$680k Liq.
🔥$296k today
294
Ends in 3 months

26%

December 31

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$78.8m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$267k today
207
Ends in 9 months

64%

Delcy Rodríguez

W
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

$5.4m Vol.
$165k Liq.
🔥$246k today
1
Ended

1%

Yes

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$5.4m Vol.
$304k Liq.
🔥$211k today
887
Ends in 9 months

42%

December 31

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$2.1m Vol.
$111k Liq.
🔥$171k today
2
Ended

97%

Yes