Government Predictions & Odds· 1717 markets

W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

76%

Social Democrats (SD)

W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

94%

Social Democrats

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$313k Vol.
$22k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

N
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

U
UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

$26 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

39%

Up

2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$54k Vol.
$36k Liq.
20
Ends in 8 months

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

$35k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

2%

Yes

M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

$97k Vol.
$16k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

52%

December 31, 2026

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

$78k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

49%

Palantir

H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

$56.3m Vol.
$925k Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
130
Ends in 9 days

70%

TISZA

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$83.7m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$3.4m today
1,424

71%

December 31

B
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

$38.0m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$1.4m today
3,814
Ends in 6 months

44%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

N
Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

$45.0m Vol.
$2.8m Liq.
🔥$1.4m today
133
Ends in 9 days

68%

Péter Magyar

N
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

$28.0m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
368
Ends in about 1 year

28%

Édouard Philippe

2
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

$11.8m Vol.
$715k Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
17
Ends in 2 months

79%

Chong Won-oh

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$12.4m Vol.
$964k Liq.
🔥$705k today
379
Ended

85%

December 31

N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$112.9m Vol.
$19.8m Liq.
🔥$690k today
36
Ends in 9 months

40%

December 31

T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

$11.3m Vol.
$519k Liq.
🔥$593k today
217
Ends in 3 months

75%

June 30

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$18.6m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$542k today
1
Ends in 27 days

3%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$25.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$386k today
16
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes