Government Predictions & Odds· 1807 markets
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$98k Vol.
$45k Liq.
4
Ended
$98k Vol.$45k Liq.4Ended
85%
Democrats (D)
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$22k Vol.
$26k Liq.
3
Ended
$22k Vol.$26k Liq.3Ended
98%
Moderates
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$29k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$29k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
35%
December 31, 2026
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$76k Vol.
$30k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$30k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
49%
Palantir
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$37k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$37k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.3m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
🔥$5.9m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$89.3m Vol.🔥$5.9m today$4.7m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
44%
December 31
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.2m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$4.0m today
3
Ends in about 7 hours
$58.2m Vol.🔥$4.0m today$2.6m Liq.3Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.7m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
1,262
$63.7m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$1.4m Liq.1,262
72%
December 31
Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.3m Vol.
$5.3m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
422
Ends in about 1 month
$18.3m Vol.🔥$1.6m today$5.3m Liq.422Ends in about 1 month
83%
June 30
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$50.4m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
104
Ends in 12 days
$50.4m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$1.1m Liq.104Ends in 12 days
67%
TISZA
Next French Presidential Election
$23.9m Vol.
$3.0m Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
350
Ends in about 1 year
$23.9m Vol.🔥$1.2m today$3.0m Liq.350Ends in about 1 year
27%
Édouard Philippe
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$9.0m Vol.
$694k Liq.
🔥$882k today
16
Ends in 2 months
$9.0m Vol.🔥$882k today$694k Liq.16Ends in 2 months
80%
Chong Won-oh
Brazil Presidential Election
$33.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$794k today
3,670
Ends in 6 months
$33.7m Vol.🔥$794k today$1.8m Liq.3,670Ends in 6 months
42%
Flávio Bolsonaro
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.5m Vol.
$180k Liq.
🔥$632k today
2
Ends in 9 months
$5.5m Vol.🔥$632k today$180k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
28%
5
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.5m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$625k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.5m Vol.🔥$625k today$2.0m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
65%
Péter Magyar
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$551k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.8m Vol.🔥$551k today$1.5m Liq.3Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.5m Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$430k today
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$2.5m Vol.🔥$430k today$15k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
94%
March 30