Government Predictions & Odds· 1715 markets
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$103k Vol.
$41k Liq.
4
Ended
$103k Vol.$41k Liq.4Ended
79%
Social Democrats (SD)
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$38k Vol.
$41k Liq.
6
Ended
$38k Vol.$41k Liq.6Ended
97%
Moderates
N
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$25k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
U
UK Government approval Up or Down this week?
$9 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$9 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
Up
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$53k Vol.
$37k Liq.
19
Ends in 8 months
$53k Vol.$37k Liq.19Ends in 8 months
86%
Kuomintang (KMT)
K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$35k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$35k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 28 days
2%
Yes
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$78k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$78k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
51%
Palantir
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$97k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$97k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
35%
December 31, 2026
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$80.9m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$8.7m today
1,403
$80.9m Vol.🔥$8.7m today$2.5m Liq.1,403
73%
December 31
N
Netanyahu out by...?
$112.3m Vol.
$20.0m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
36
Ends in 9 months
$112.3m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$20.0m Liq.36Ends in 9 months
40%
December 31
H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$55.2m Vol.
$890k Liq.
🔥$3.0m today
127
Ends in 10 days
$55.2m Vol.🔥$3.0m today$890k Liq.127Ends in 10 days
69%
TISZA
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$18.1m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$2.2m today
1
Ends in 28 days
$18.1m Vol.🔥$2.2m today$1.2m Liq.1Ends in 28 days
3%
Yes
N
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$43.8m Vol.
$2.8m Liq.
🔥$2.2m today
111
Ends in 10 days
$43.8m Vol.🔥$2.2m today$2.8m Liq.111Ends in 10 days
65%
Péter Magyar
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$11.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
370
Ended
$11.8m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.1m Liq.370Ended
88%
December 31
T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$10.9m Vol.
$453k Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
210
Ends in 3 months
$10.9m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$453k Liq.210Ends in 3 months
76%
June 30
B
Brazil Presidential Election
$36.7m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
3,807
Ends in 6 months
$36.7m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$2.2m Liq.3,807Ends in 6 months
44%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
N
Next French Presidential Election
$26.9m Vol.
$2.8m Liq.
🔥$900k today
371
Ends in about 1 year
$26.9m Vol.🔥$900k today$2.8m Liq.371Ends in about 1 year
30%
Édouard Philippe
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$25.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$867k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$25.0m Vol.🔥$867k today$1.4m Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
2
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$11.0m Vol.
$677k Liq.
🔥$813k today
17
Ends in 2 months
$11.0m Vol.🔥$813k today$677k Liq.17Ends in 2 months
84%
Chong Won-oh