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AllPoliticsIranRecordsTrumpSocial MediaTwitterMrBeastMiddle EastFedStrait Of HormuzChinaOilWorld AffairsGDPElections 2024HouthisShippingSuez CanalRed SeaGiveawayGiveawaysInternet CultureGlobal ElectionsFed RatesGeopoliticsEconomyFOMCTrump PresidencyMacro GeopoliticsParlaysJerome PowellForeign PolicyEconomic PolicyWorldMacro IndicatorsHouthiShipIMFGlobal GDPRegional SpilloverU.S. X IranHormozCloseShipsTransitTankerTrafficHormuzCape Of Good Hope
2026 World GDP Growth

Economy·Global GDP

2026 World GDP Growth

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 10 months

43%

≤2.9%

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Geopolitics·traffic

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$247k today
Ends in about 9 hours

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Geopolitics·Oil

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$327k Vol.
$48k Liq.
🔥$190k today
Ends in 3 days

81%

0-10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Economy·ships

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.5m Vol.
$78k Liq.
🔥$67k today
102
Ends in about 1 month

20%

Yes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Geopolitics·houthi

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$334k Vol.
$87k Liq.
🔥$56k today
33
Ends in about 1 month

37%

April 30

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

$440k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ended

53%

20-24

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Economy·Trump

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$605k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

7%

20+

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Geopolitics·traffic

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

35%

0-10

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

Geopolitics·ship

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

$24k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ended

43%

30-34

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Economy·U.S. x Iran

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

65%

20+

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

Economy·Middle East

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours

1%

Yes

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Geopolitics·Middle East

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$129k Vol.
$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k Vol.
$103k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$391k Vol.
$90k Liq.
17
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$956 Vol.
$130k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 10-16)

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 10-16)

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

35-39

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?

Geopolitics·suez canal

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?

$225k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?

World·Foreign Policy

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?

$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

How many reposts will MrBeast's $250k giveaway get?

MrBeast · social media

How many reposts will MrBeast's $250k giveaway get?

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended

3.9m+ (Most reposts of all time)

Iceland Presidential Election Winner

Politics·Global Elections

Iceland Presidential Election Winner

$56k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Halla Tómasdóttir