International Relations Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

$1.1m Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours

0%

Yes

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

$50k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

65%

Yes

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

$600k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

11%

December 31, 2026

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

$58k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

$1.7m Vol.
$39k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months

16%

December 31, 2026

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$375k Vol.
$16k Liq.
62

16%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

$98k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours

0%

Yes

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

$153k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

$369k Vol.
$146k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

57%

Pakistan

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

$1.1m Vol.
$50k Liq.
🔥$65k today
Ends in about 6 hours

74%

June 30

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

14%

Yes

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

$90k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets

Sports · Games

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - More Markets

Sports · Games

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - More Markets

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3) - More Markets

Sports · Games

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3) - More Markets

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$64k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

43%

Yes

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k Vol.
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3
Ends in 7 months

47%

US x Iran Ceasefire

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

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$29k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month

10%

April 10

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$8.7m Vol.
$547k Liq.
🔥$303k today
326
Ends in about 6 hours

78%

December 31