International Relations Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
$50k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$50k Vol.$77k Liq.Ends in 9 months
65%
Yes
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.1m Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
$600k Vol.
$28k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$600k Vol.$28k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$39k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$1.7m Vol.$39k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
$98k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$98k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
$153k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$153k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$366k Vol.
$205k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$366k Vol.$205k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.1m Vol.
$68k Liq.
🔥$73k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.1m Vol.🔥$73k today$68k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
74%
June 30
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$90k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$90k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - More Markets
$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$25k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3) - More Markets
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$15k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$15k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$63k Vol.
$19k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$63k Vol.$19k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$201k Vol.
$59k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
$201k Vol.$59k Liq.6Ends in about 1 month
10%
April 10