July 4 Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
46%
Yes
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$74k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$74k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
66%
8+
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$363k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$363k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 4 months
84%
Hong Wang
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$209k Liq.
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$209k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
$642k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$642k Vol.$58k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
$512k Vol.
$30k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$512k Vol.$30k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Will Silver (SI) hit __ by end of March?
$1.5m Vol.
$546k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.5m Vol.$546k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
10%
↓ $65
95%
Mike Thompson
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
73%
Pause–Pause–Pause
72%
Laura Gillen
91%
Republican Party
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
89%
Republican Party
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
55%
December 31
96%
Democratic Party
IN-04 Republican Primary Winner
$930 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$930 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
86%
Jim Baird
89%
Democratic Party
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
41%
3