July 4 Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
T
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$10k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
42%
Yes
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$62k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$62k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
82%
8+
W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$369k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$369k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 months
66%
Hong Wang
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.7m Vol.
$294k Liq.
🔥$57k today
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$57k today$294k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
W
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
$533k Vol.
$35k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$533k Vol.$35k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
W
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
$650k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$650k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
C
96%
Mike Thompson
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$11k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
F
76%
Pause–Pause–Pause
N
73%
Laura Gillen
I
91%
Republican Party
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$536k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$129k today
172
$536k Vol.🔥$129k today$15k Liq.172
16%
Yes
S
89%
Republican Party
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$604 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$604 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
51%
December 31
G
96%
Democratic Party
I
IN-04 Republican Primary Winner
$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
78%
Jim Baird
O
89%
Democratic Party
#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$47k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$47k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
41%
3