Liberation Day Tariffs Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$15k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

46%

Yes

U
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

$1.2m Vol.
$22k Liq.
29
Ended

99%

5–15%

W
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

$64k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ended

99%

Yes

T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

1
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

$39k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

W
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$25k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 hours

95%

60-79

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

42%

60-79

W
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ended

0%

Yes

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$669 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

52%

60-79

#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

$20k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

44%

3

U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

$84k Vol.
$19k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months

38%

June 30

W
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

$162k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ended

1%

Yes

#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

$21k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

55%

10+

W
What will Trump say in March?

What will Trump say in March?

$176k Vol.
$9k Liq.
24
Ended

42%

Sudan

W
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$255k Vol.
$7k Liq.
🔥$105k today
Ends in about 2 hours

92%

160-179

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$10k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

76%

20+

K
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$30k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 2 hours

97%

<20

W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$62k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days

50%

160-179