Macro Predictions & Odds· 339 markets
Brazil Presidential Election
$33.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$794k today
3,670
Ends in 6 months
$33.7m Vol.🔥$794k today$1.8m Liq.3,670Ends in 6 months
42%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.5m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$625k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.5m Vol.🔥$625k today$2.0m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
65%
Péter Magyar
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$208k Liq.
🔥$180k today
17
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$180k today$208k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$66k Liq.
🔥$87k today
100
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$87k today$66k Liq.100Ends in about 1 month
22%
Yes
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$701k Vol.
$44k Liq.
🔥$51k today
26
Ends in 8 months
$701k Vol.🔥$51k today$44k Liq.26Ends in 8 months
22%
Yes
98%
≥2.8%
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$226k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$226k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
24%
2.0–2.5%
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$814k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$814k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in 10 days
48%
≥3.4%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$171k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$171k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
89%
≥0.8%
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$204k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$204k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 17 days
71%
4.5-5.0%
US recession by end of 2026?
$919k Vol.
$72k Liq.
50
Ends in 10 months
$919k Vol.$72k Liq.50Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
How high will inflation get in 2026?
$340k Vol.
$183k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$340k Vol.$183k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%
56%
$2.25–2.50
29%
4.4%
72%
4.0–5.0%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
79%
Up
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
$14k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
$14k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 14 days
73%
3.1–3.3%
26%
50k – 100k
29%
25-29.9%