Macro Predictions & Odds· 340 markets
B
Brazil Presidential Election
$34.5m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
3,706
Ends in 6 months
$34.5m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$2.2m Liq.3,706Ends in 6 months
42%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
N
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$613k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.7m Vol.🔥$613k today$1.8m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
65%
Péter Magyar
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$98k Liq.
🔥$144k today
105
Ends in 30 days
$1.6m Vol.🔥$144k today$98k Liq.105Ends in 30 days
16%
Yes
F
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$741k Vol.
$49k Liq.
🔥$81k today
28
Ends in 8 months
$741k Vol.🔥$81k today$49k Liq.28Ends in 8 months
18%
Yes
M
99%
≥2.8%
M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$834k Vol.
$89k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
$834k Vol.$89k Liq.1Ends in 10 days
50%
≥3.4%
U
20%
2.5–3.0%
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$174k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$174k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$926k Vol.
$81k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months
$926k Vol.$81k Liq.52Ends in 10 months
36%
Yes
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$207k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 17 days
$207k Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 17 days
48%
5.0-5.5%
M
89%
≥0.8%
F
100%
2.6%
H
How high will inflation get in 2026?
$343k Vol.
$141k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months
$343k Vol.$141k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$238k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$238k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
63%
↓ 3.25%
M
29%
4.4%
C
72%
4.0–5.0%
H
28%
100k+
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
86%
Up
A
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
$15k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
$15k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 14 days
69%
3.1–3.3%
W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$194k Vol.
$35k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$194k Vol.$35k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes