Mahmoud Abbas Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
$97k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$97k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
39%
December 31
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$420k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$420k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$944k Liq.
🔥$79k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$79k today$944k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
66%
Mojtaba Khamenei
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$21k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$21k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 28 days
9%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$604 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$604 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$537k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$126k today
172
$537k Vol.🔥$126k today$16k Liq.172
14%
Yes
I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$228k Vol.
$811k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$228k Vol.$811k Liq.Ends in 28 days
100%
Bahrain
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$41k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$34k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$34k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 1 day
85%
<20
M
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$120k Vol.
$219k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$120k Vol.$219k Liq.Ends in 28 days
58%
Military action through April 30
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$214k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$10k Vol.$214k Liq.Ends in 5 days
32%
10-14
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$289k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$289k Vol.$48k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
19%
May 31
I
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$67k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$67k Vol.$74k Liq.Ends in 28 days
97%
April 2
H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$36k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$36k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 28 days
50%
2–3
I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$4.0m Vol.
$772k Liq.
🔥$245k today
Ended
$4.0m Vol.🔥$245k today$772k Liq.Ended
100%
Bahrain
P
Sports · Games
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators
$36k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$36k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 7 days
70%
Islamabad United
H
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?
$28k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$28k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in 28 days
43%
3
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$11k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
22%
April 30
N
NYC Mayor # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$1k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
68%
20-39