Mahmoud Abbas Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
$97k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$97k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
39%
December 31
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$407k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$407k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$966k Liq.
🔥$56k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$56k today$966k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
65%
Mojtaba Khamenei
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$22k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$22k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 27 days
9%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
40%
<5
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$540k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$121k today
173
$540k Vol.🔥$121k today$18k Liq.173
16%
Yes
I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$231k Vol.
$809k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$231k Vol.$809k Liq.Ends in 27 days
100%
Bahrain
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
23%
Leadership Change
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$61k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$61k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$34k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$34k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
78%
<20
M
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$125k Vol.
$208k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$125k Vol.$208k Liq.Ends in 27 days
59%
Military action through April 30
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$10k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 5 days
41%
20-24
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$289k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$289k Vol.$41k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
18%
May 31
I
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$69k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$69k Vol.$85k Liq.Ends in 27 days
95%
April 2
H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$36k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$36k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 27 days
49%
2–3
I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$4.0m Vol.
$850k Liq.
🔥$234k today
Ended
$4.0m Vol.🔥$234k today$850k Liq.Ended
100%
Bahrain
P
Sports · Games
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators
$145k Vol.
$233k Liq.
🔥$145k today
Ends in 7 days
$145k Vol.🔥$145k today$233k Liq.Ends in 7 days
100%
Islamabad United
H
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?
$29k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$29k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in 27 days
45%
3
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
N
NYC Mayor # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$1k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
66%
20-39