Peace Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 107 markets
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$81.9m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$6.0m today
1,413
$81.9m Vol.🔥$6.0m today$2.4m Liq.1,413
72%
December 31
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$101k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$101k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$432k Vol.
$42k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$432k Vol.$42k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$104k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$104k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
53%
US x Iran Ceasefire
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$77k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$329k Liq.
🔥$380k today
Ends in 27 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$380k today$329k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$145k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$15k Vol.$145k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$69k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$69k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
$3k Vol.
$121k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$3k Vol.$121k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
53%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$462k Liq.
🔥$191k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.4m Vol.🔥$191k today$462k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,430
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,430Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$134k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in 3 months
34%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
$3k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$3k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
39%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$19k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$189k Vol.
$25k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$189k Vol.$25k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes