Peace Talks Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$366k Vol.
$202k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$366k Vol.$202k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$357k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$357k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$47k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$47k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
38%
June 30
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$256k Vol.
$59k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
$256k Vol.$59k Liq.7Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$24k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$24k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$67k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$67k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Who will Trump talk to in April?
$13k Vol.
$127k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$127k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
77%
Mark Rutte
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.6m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$3.1m today
1,264
$63.6m Vol.🔥$3.1m today$1.6m Liq.1,264
73%
December 31
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
$2.5m Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$2.5m Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$154k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$154k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
13%
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.1m Vol.
$68k Liq.
🔥$73k today
Ends in about 8 hours
$1.1m Vol.🔥$73k today$68k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
74%
June 30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$44k Vol.
$61k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$44k Vol.$61k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31
25%
Yes
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
$567k Vol.
$52k Liq.
🔥$222k today
100
Ends in 3 months
$567k Vol.🔥$222k today$52k Liq.100Ends in 3 months
97%
Yes
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
$1.1m Vol.
$44k Liq.
🔥$60k today
66
Ends in about 8 hours
$1.1m Vol.🔥$60k today$44k Liq.66Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Nothing Ever Happens: March
$291k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$291k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
71%
Nothing
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
30%
120-139
86%
Nothing
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$201k Vol.
$57k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
$201k Vol.$57k Liq.6Ends in about 1 month
10%
April 10