The War And Treaty Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
0%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$67k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$67k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$185k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$185k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$30k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$30k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$8k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$8k Liq.38Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$81k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$81k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$126k Vol.
$8k Liq.
26
Ends in 3 months
$126k Vol.$8k Liq.26Ends in 3 months
51%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
17%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$65.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
1,275
$65.1m Vol.🔥$3.5m today$1.3m Liq.1,275
74%
December 31
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$55k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31, 2026
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$384k Vol.
$31k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$384k Vol.$31k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$32k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$32k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$229k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$1.1m Vol.$229k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$60k Vol.
$6k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$6k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
32%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$36k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$36k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
13%
June 30
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$515k Vol.
$61k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$515k Vol.$61k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes